Prediksi Teknologi 2019 by Tirto.id

IDC Unveils Top 10 Asia Pacific Predictions For 2019

SINGAPORE: IDC has unveiled its top predictions for the Asia Pacific region, with the exception of Japan (APeJ), at the IDC Asia/Pacific Futurescapes 2019 held at the Singapore Marriott Tang’s Plaza Hotel. The event is one of ICT’s biggest thought leadership events every year where IDC unveils its top 10 predictions for ICT and industries for the next 36 months. This year, IDC shared that it predicts that at least 55 percent of organisations will be digitally determined by 2020, transforming markets and reimagining the future through new business models and digitally enabled products and services. Digitally determined organisations demonstrate the ability to vision, plan, and operationalise DX through ambition, grit, discipline, commitment and hard work. Ultimately, all digital determined organisations aspire to become Digital Native Enterprises (DNE) which are defined by IDC as an entity that can scale its business and innovate at a pace that is an order of magnitude greater than traditional businesses.

“To be one of the digitally determined, Asia/Pacific organisations requires more than tenacity; it requires a blueprint that consists of a single enterprise strategy, resoluteness to make required organisational and cultural changes, a long investment strategy based on the principle that digital is inherently valuable to the business; and should have a single digital platform to scale technology innovations,” said Sandra Ng, Group Vice President for ICT Practice at IDC Asia/Pacific.

According to Ng, the top predictions that will impact the ICT industry and both technology buyers and suppliers in Asia/Pacific in the next 36 months are:

#1: Digital determination: By 2020, at least 55 percent of organisations will be digitally determined, transforming markets and reimagining the future through new business models and digitally enabled products and services.

#2: Data monetization: By 2020, 60 percent of large enterprises will create data management or monetization capabilities, thus enhancing enterprise functions, strengthening competitiveness, and creating new sources of revenue.

#3: Digital KPIs: By 2023, 80 percent of entities will have incorporate new digital KPI sets – focusing on product/service innovation rates, data capitalisation, and employee experience – to navigate the digital economy.

#4: Digital twin: By 2020, 30 percent of A1000 companies will have implemented advanced digital twins of their operational processes which will enable flatter organisations and one third fewer knowledge workers.

#5: Agile connectivity: By 2021, driven by LoB needs, 60 percent of CIOs will deliver “agile connectivity” via APIs and architectures that interconnect digital solutions from cloud vendors, system developers, startups, and others.

#6: Blockchain-enabled DX platforms: By 2021, prominent in-industry value chains, enabled by blockchains, will have extended their digital platforms to their entire omni-experience ecosystems, thus reducing transaction costs by 35 percent.

#7 BizOps: By 2021, 45 percent of CIOs will expand agile/ DevOps practices into the wider business to achieve the velocity necessary for innovation, execution, and change.

#8 AI-driven edge: By 2022, over 30 percent of organisations’ cloud deployments will include edge computing, and 25 percent of endpoint devices and systems will execute AI algorithms.

#9 Digital trust: By 2020, 55 percent of CIOs will initiate a digital trust framework that goes beyond preventing cyberattacks and enables organisations to resiliently rebound from adverse situations, events, and effects.

#10 AI-based IT Operations: Compelled to curtail IT spending, improve enterprise IT agility, and accelerate innovation, 60 percent of CIOs will aggressively apply data and AI to IT operations, tools, and processed by 2021.

Ng concludes, “AI is creating a new paradigm for individuals, businesses, industries, economies and governments. It is shaping the future of intelligence in organisations and in workers. To this end, IDC predicts that by 2025, 60 percent of frontline connected devices will be voice-enabled, with a smart assistant, and able to control 80 percent of devices deployed in consumer and enterprise settings. Voice is increasingly influencing the way we work, live, learn and play. The race to the future enterprise has begun. No one and no entity will be spared of the need to at least reset or reboot, if not reinvent. Reinvention is the new black!”AI

These strategic predictions for the Asia/Pacific market are presented in full in the following reports: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide IT Industry 2019 Predictions – APeJ Implications; IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Digital Transformation (DX) 2019 Predictions – APeJ Implications; and IDC FutureScape: Worldwide CIO Agenda 2018 Predictions – APeJ Implications.

To learn more about other IDC FutureScape reports on the latest technology and industry predictions for WW and the Asia/Pacific region, please visit the FutureScapes Reports Library.

IDC has also prepared a FutureScape webinar series, which provides a crisp guidance to all executive parties on how to lead one’s Digital Transformation strategy on various technology and vertical topics. To register for these webinars, click here.

IDC Top 10 Predictions For Worldwide IT, 2019

Louis ColumbusContributor

Enterprise & Cloud

ISTOCK

• IDC forecasts AI solutions will permeate enterprise applications and deliver over $52B in global market revenue by 2021, attaining a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 46.2% through 2021.
• By 2024, AI-enabled user interfaces and process automation will replace one-third of today's screen-based apps. By 2022, 30% of enterprises will use conversational speech tech for customer engagement.
• By 2022, the top four cloud "mega platforms" will host 80% of IaaS/PaaS deployments, by 2024, 90% of Global 1000 organizations will mitigate lock-in through multi- and hybrid cloud technologies and tools.
• IDC forecasts global spending on security solutions will reach $120.7B in 2021 with a 2018-2021 CAGR of 10.0%.

Calling the rapid digitization of competitors and industries a clock ticking loudly in the heads of every CEO, IDC advises enterprises that if they're not digitally transforming their companies at an aggressive pace, that by 2022, just over two-thirds of their total addressable markets will be gone. Nothing short of a wholesale reinvention of enterprises' digital innovation capabilities is needed. These and many other insights are from IDC FutureScape: Worldwide IT Industry 2019 Predictions, the research and advisory firms’ top 10 predictions and key drivers for the IT industry over the next five years. It’s an informative, quick read and it’s available for everyone to download from the IDC site here (PDF, 26 pp., opt-in).

IDC often ranks their predictions by cost/complexity to address and prediction timing. The following graphic provides their top 10 predictions for 2019 ranked by these two factors:

SOURCE: IDC FUTURESCAPE: WORLDWIDE IT INDUSTRY 2019 PREDICTIONS,

IDC Top 10 Predictions For Worldwide IT, 2019

• Prediction 1: Digitized economy. By 2022, 60%+ of global GDP will be digitized, with growth in every industry driven by digitally enhanced offerings, operations, and relationships and almost $7 trillion in IT-related spending in 2019–2022.

The most effective digitally-driven initiatives in business today balance digital business optimization and the creation of new business models through digital business transformation. IDC believes the most effective organizations at digital transformation balance these two broad initiatives to deliver measurable financial results. It’s easier to sell digital business optimization internally to a CEO and board of directors because these are the strategies focused on improving productivity, increasing revenue from existing products and delivering a better customer experience. It’s more challenging to reinvent core business models, so they are competitively strong enough to deliver revenue quickly.  IDC says every business must take on this challenge or risk two-thirds of their addressable market vanishing by 2022. Amazon’s prolific ability to generate new business models and aggressively grow revenue is a case in point.

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• Prediction 2: Digital-native IT. By 2023, 75% of all IT spending will be on 3rd Platform technologies, as over 90% of all enterprises build "digital native" IT environments to thrive in the digital economy.

IDC sees 3^rd Platform technologies dominating enterprise IT spending in five years, with legacy systems selectively being used to support digital transformation. Distributed cloud, AI at the edge, hyperagile app technologies and architectures, and AI-powered voice UIs are integral to how organizations will use 3^rd Platform support to enable digital transformation.

• Prediction 3: Expand to the edge. By 2022, over 40% of organizations' cloud deployments will include edge computing and 25% of endpoint devices and systems will execute AI algorithms.

AI services will be the most transformational of public cloud capabilities being deployed across the distributed/edge cloud foundation by 2022 according to IDC’s prediction. Also by 2022, any endpoint device on a cloud-enabled network will be performing AI-driven inferencing and relying on machine learning algorithms to continually “learn” which predictive analytics algorithm works best for a specific situation.

• Prediction 4: AppDev revolution. By 2022, 90% of all new apps will feature microservices architectures that improve the ability to design, debug, update, and leverage third-party code; 35% of all production apps will be cloud-native.

Being able to develop new apps at scale using microservices architectures will be the new normal in 2022 according to IDC. This will lead to a proliferation of new, internally-generated apps that scale faster with business models that existing development tools and methodologies allow. IDC is calling these “hyperagile apps” because they are highly modular distributed, continuously updated, and leveraging cloud-native technologies such as containers and serverless computing.

• Prediction 5: New developer class. By 2024, a new class of professional developers producing code without custom scripting will expand the developer population by 30%, accelerating digital transformation (DX).

The continual shortage of professional developers and the need to innovate smarter and faster to launch new businesses will lead enterprises will turn to a new class of developers who code without custom scripting.  IDC predicts this new class of global developers will increase the total available base by at least 30% in five years.

• Prediction 6: Digital innovation explosion. From 2018 to 2023 — with new tools/platforms, more developers, agile methods, and lots of code reuse — 500 million new logical apps will be created, equal to the number built over the past 40 years.

IDC predicts by 2023, entirely new applications will be created by collecting and integrating components from code repositories. By 2022 IDC predicts 75% of new applications being developed will be made up of greater than 50% code that was procured rather than written. AI- and machine learning components will achieve adoption scale quickly, as they’ll be repurposed from public and private code repositories.

• Prediction 7: Growth through specialization. By 2022, 25% of public cloud computing will be based on non-x86 processors (including quantum); by 2022, organizations will spend more on vertical SaaS apps than horizontal apps.

IDC predicts the IT impact from custom ASICs for AI will be slow at first, except that TPUs can be leveraged in Google Cloud, but by 2019, ASICs will start to become available from start-ups and Intel. As compliance and quality management requirements increase by vertical market, expect to see vertical SaaS apps outsell mainstream, horizontal apps.

• Prediction 8: Artificial intelligence (AI) is the new user interface (UI). By 2024, AI-enabled user interfaces and process automation will replace one-third of today's screen-based apps; by 2022, 30% of enterprises will use conversational speech tech for customer engagement.

IDC sees the exponential increases in natural language understanding (NLU) technologies illustrated by the popularity of Google Assistant, Siri, Microsoft Cortana, and Amazon's Alexa as the future of AI-driven interfaces. The FutureScapes’ authors say that the combination of NLU with translation, search, analytics, AI, and speech technologies will revolutionize how people interact with computers that increasingly emulate the human-to-human conversational experience. The study cites Salesforce's Einstein Voice Assistant as an example of how the integration of these technologies can be deployed across marketing, sales, and services to improve customer experiences.

• Prediction 9: Expanding and scaling trust. By 2022, 50% of servers will encrypt data at rest, and in motion, over 50% of security alerts will be handled by AI-powered automation, and 150 million people will have blockchain-based digital identities.

Threat management solutions are entering a new era that capitalizes on the strengths of analytics, machine learning and data science models to protect every threat surface on a network. IDC is predicting these technologies will take humans out of the loop at least 50% of the time on threat management events. Zero Trust Security shows potential to protect every threat surface using the integrated technologies IDC mentions. Companies to watch in this area include Centrify for Privileged Access Management, Idaptive for Next-Gen Access, as well as Cisco, F5 and Palo Alto Networks in networking. Based on conversations with CIOs and IT teams,  Zero Trust Security (ZTS) is scaling to protect every identity and threat surface on a network. Identities are the new security perimeter of any business. Based on the four core pillars of verifying the identity of every user, validating every device, limiting access and privilege, as well as relying on machine learning to analyze user behavior and gain greater insights from analytics, ZTS is proving effective at stopping breach attempts.

• Prediction 10: Consolidation versus multicloud. By 2022, the top 4 cloud "mega platforms" will host 80% of IaaS/PaaS deployments, but by 2024, 90% of Global 1000 organizations will mitigate lock-in through multi-cloud/hybrid technologies and tools.

According to IDC's recent IaaSView Survey, almost 60% of respondents indicate that they already have a (largely unintegrated) multi-cloud IaaS environment, with 75% of those having a primary provider and one or more secondary providers. Their primary driver for multi-cloud usage is to support different applications and use cases. The study’s authors believe at least two of the four megaplatforms players will extend their hybrid/multi-cloud capabilities to provide customers more seamless deployment and management across multiple public cloud vendors' platform.

I am currently serving as Principal, IQMS. Previous positions include product management at Ingram Cloud, product marketing at iBASEt, Plex Systems, senior analyst at AMR Research (now Gartner), marketing and business development at Cincom Systems, Ingram Micro, a SaaS start...

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Louis Columbus is an enterprise software strategist with expertise in analytics, cloud computing, CPQ, Customer Relationship Management (CRM), e-commerce and Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP).

Gartner Top Strategic Predictions for 2019 and Beyond

Amid AI, privacy laws, diversity and cloud, CIOs must harness the chaos of continuous change.

For patients with chronic illnesses in rural areas, clinician shortages can present a real health challenge. A flare-up or health issue might mean a trip to the emergency room, which is costly for the patient and the hospital. Now, patients can meet with doctors in different cities by utilizing virtual care, which provides convenient and cost-effective healthcare.

AI-enhanced virtual care is one of Gartner’s 10 top predictions for 2019 and beyond. The predictions examine three fundamental effects of continued digital innovation: AI and skills, cultural advancement and processes becoming products.

“Organizations can turn continuous change into an asset if they sharpen their vision”

The rate of change is outpacing the ability of an enterprise to keep up. Organizations should use the predictions for strategic planning and to improve their vision of the future.

“Organizations can turn continuous change into an asset if they sharpen their vision in order to see the future coming ahead of the change,” said Daryl Plummer, Gartner Distinguished Vice President, Analyst, at Gartner Symposium/ITxpo 2018 in Orlando, Florida.

AI skills don’t scale

Through 2020, 80% of AI projects will remain alchemy, run by wizards whose talents will not scale in the organization.

In the past five years, the increasing popularity and hype surrounding AI techniques have led to an increase in projects across organizations. However, the overwhelming hype has also led to unreasonable expectations from the business. Further, change is outpacing the production of competent professionals, which means that AI is more an art form than a science. The lack of a common language among all parties remains as a barrier to scalability, as does how specific and narrow most AI skill sets remain. Combining new skills with AI-based automation will unlock scale potential.

Read more: The CIO’s Guide to Artificial Intelligence

AI locates missing people

By 2023, there will be an 80% reduction in missing people in mature markets compared to 2018, due to AI face recognition.

Over the next few years, advances in AI will lead to increasingly sophisticated facial recognition technology, particularly useful in identifying lost children or elderly citizens. Although current facial recognition is limited in application, the speed of recognition using one-to-many matching, even in large sample sets, is less than 600 microseconds.

Virtual care improves health

By 2023, U.S. emergency department visits will be reduced by 20 million due to enrollment of chronically ill patients in AI-enhanced virtual care.

Virtual healthcare has demonstrated that it can offer more convenient and cost-effective care than conventional face-to-face care. Clinician shortages, in addition to an increased focus on outcomes, coordinated care and population health, are driving a push to more efficient and effective care models. Successful use of virtual care lowers costs and improves quality of delivery as well as overall access to care.

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Affidavits fail cyberbullying

By 2023, 25% of organizations will require employees to sign affidavits to avoid cyberbullying, but 70% of these initiatives will fail.

In an attempt to curb workplace cyberbullying, enterprises will strengthen workplace codes of conduct and require employees to sign affidavits of agreement. However, cyberbullying isn’t eradicated by agreements — that requires a shift in organizational culture. Companies should begin to train employees to recognize and report cyberbullying.

Diversity drives financial targets

Through 2022, 75% of organizations with frontline decision-making teams reflecting a diverse and inclusive culture will exceed their financial targets.

Companies understand the benefits of diversity, but must now move toward a focus on different types of diversity (e.g., thought processes and work styles) and a deliberate focus on inclusivity. These policies should be co-developed by business and HR leaders.

Personal data poisons blockchain

By 2022, 75% of public blockchains will suffer “privacy poisoning” — inserted personal data that renders the blockchain noncompliant with privacy laws.

With the steep learning curve associated with blockchain technology, developers are at risk for accidentally storing personal data in a noncompliant way. Because blockchains are immutable, personal data can’t be deleted without compromising chain integrity. However, continuing to store personal data violates privacy legislation. Establish privacy-by-design principles at the onset of the blockchain architecture, including a ban on free text, where personal data would be stored.

Read more: The CIO’s Guide to Blockchain

Privacy laws cripple ad sales

By 2023, e-privacy regulations will increase online costs by minimizing the use of “cookies,” thus crippling the current internet ad revenue machine.

As legislation to protect consumers’ data becomes more prevalent, it will impede the current internet advertising infrastructure and its major players. Traditionally, companies use consumer data via cookies to personalize and direct ads, but GDPR and e-privacy laws require informed consent of how that information will be used and possibly sold.

Cloud spawns new products

Through 2022, a fast path to digital will be converting internal capabilities to external revenue-generating products using cloud economics and flexibility.

Historically, internal IT teams looking to market unique capabilities haven’t been able to for economic, technical and marketing reasons. However, cloud infrastructure and cloud service providers solve many of these challenges. Supporting scale is the cloud provider’s responsibility, the app store markets the app, and cloud tools make support and enhancement easier. As companies begin to see digital revenue from marketing internal tools, others will follow suit.

Gatekeepers gain market share

By 2022, companies leveraging the “gatekeeper” position of the digital giants will capture 40% global market share on average in their industry.

In 2019, the digital giants will deliver double-digit revenue growth by attracting more users globally and supporting more usage. These companies control vast economic ecosystems. With increasing connections and users, they are poised to gain even more market share.

Consumers ignore security breaches

Through 2021, social media scandals and security breaches will have effectively zero lasting consumer impact.

The benefits of using technology will outweigh security and privacy concerns. People generally feel technology companies should be regulated, but despite recent security breaches, most continue using digital services and companies make very limited changes in the wake of an event.

Selamat Tahun Baru 2019

Tahun Baru sudah datang
Semangat baru seharusnya meliputi isi kepala, hati dan pikiran kita
Harapan baru seharusnya ada di dalam sanubari kita
Dan semua hal yang baik, yang terpikirkan dalam otak kita

Tahun baru, selalu dimulai dengan resolusi baru. Resolusi merupakan target solusi baru atas masalah, kendala dan hambatan yang kita rasakan sepanjang 2018. Re-solusi itulah jelasnya.

Permasalahan utamanya, apakah kita bisa mendefinisikan masalah, kendala, hambatan, gangguan yang kita hadapi selama 2018 ?

Kemudian, apakah kita sudah memikirkan, mendefinisikan, bahkan kalau perlu, menuliskannya sebagai solusi atas semua itu ?

Itulah resolusi kita seharusnya.

Kata 'Resolusi' ini banyak kita temui dikalangan para penggiat olahraga, sebagai cara, jawaban mereka untuk memperbaharui, membuat, tekad untuk berolahraga, memperbaiki kualitas hidup. Dan semua sama, memiliki 5 hal ini.

1. Sesuaikan pikiranmu. Seringkali kita merasa gagal, kurang berhasil dan tidak dapat mencapai apa yang harusnya kita capai dan peroleh di 2018, tinggalkan itu, sesuaikan pikiran kita, dan maju terus untuk mencapai apa yang kita inginkan.

2. Tetapkan tujuanmu. Tidak bisa mencapainya 100% tidak masalah, tetapi tetap kita harus menetapkan kembali tujuan kita. Mulailah dengan langkah kecil, dibandingkan tidak memulainya sama sekali.

3. Sempurna tidak selalu berhasil dicapai. Kesempurnaan seringkali membuat kita merasa putus asa. Tidak mencapai kesempurnaan juga hal yang wajar, selama kita berusaha. Itu yang lebih penting. Mencapai kesempurnaan tetap menjadi hal yang utama, dan segala daya upaya kita harus maksimal untuk mencapai itu.

4. Mulailah, atau tidak sama sekali akan berjalan, akan berhasil. Ajaklah kawan, sahabat, mitra anda, bagikan harapan dan ide anda, biarkan mereka mengetahui target kita, agar kita dapat ditemani sepanjang jalan.

5. Hargai diri anda. Bila kita berhasil mencapainya, biarkanlah diri kita menikmatinya, meskipun sesaat. Sampaikan juga sukacita kita kepada orang sekitar kita, biarkan mereka tahu apa yang telah kita capai. Dengan cara ini, semangat kita akan terjaga.

Sudahkah kita membuat rangkaian kata resolusi kita ? Masih ada waktu, mulai kerjakan, dan kalau perlu tuliskanlah.

Selamat tahun baru 2019, Sukses bersama tentu lebih mulia.

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