Prediksi 2013 Oleh Michael B. Fishbein

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My Predictions for Tech in 2013

Posted: 12/20/2012 2:59 pm

1.) New Lifestyle for Consumers

With the support from advances in cloud infrastructure, virtual private networks and telecom, corporate employees will increasingly demand remote working, flexible schedules, project-based work and passive income streams. Furthermore, they will transition from the desire to own to the desire to do as a result of their increased freedom.

These trends should drive demand for both sides of marketplaces that enable people to purchase anything from anywhere from anyone -- such as Airbnb, a peer-to-peer marketplace for people to list, discover and book unique spaces around the world, which I predict will eat the real-estate industry's lunch in the coming years; Vayable, an online marketplace where travelers can discover and buy, and local individuals can sell unique travel experiences including tours, activities and extended trips. I'm also bullish on 500px, a company that enables photographers to monetize their passion. They have a beautiful product full of stunning content as well.

This will present opportunities for companies that make marketplaces more safe and secure, as well as for companies that enable people to monetize their skills or assets in ways that complement the unbundling of the corporation into people and small teams.

2.) Hardware Meets Consumers

It's hardware's time to shine. Production costs are coming down, crowdfunding platforms such as Kickstarter are providing funding and fast customer feedback, and consumer demand will only be increasing. The Pebble watch and other similar products will make 2013 the year you'll see people checking a watch, necklace, or pair of glasses rather than whipping out their phone constantly.

The "Internet of Things" will connect objects and people to the web and mobile devices. Companies in this space include SmartThings, which provides a platform that enables developers and makers to build smart and connected devices, and create interactive and mobile user experiences for consumers; and ThingSpeak, an open application platform designed to enable meaningful connections between things and people.

3-D printing will also be a massive opportunity and will be extremely disruptive to physical distribution networks. Companies I like here are Markerbot, which creates affordable, open source 3-D printers and Shapeways, a 3-D printing marketplace helping anyone turn an idea into a physical reality.

The combination of these two -- making 'dumb' objects easier through 3-D printers and making dumb objects 'smart' through the Internet of Things -- will present some amazing opportunities.

3.) Social Graph As a New Infrastructure

Always-on mobile devices, widely available Internet access and massive amounts of publicly available personal data are enabling fundamentally new consumer experiences and will present a universe of new opportunities.

We'll see some form of the social graph become integrated with almost every transaction and interaction we have. Potential applications range from government to corporate governance to education to lending. The potential depth of coverage is in the trillions of dollars.

The factors described above, along with new distribution platforms, are shifting power from government and corporations to individuals. Individuals can now express themselves and drive society in ways they couldn't before.

Companies I like in this space are Quora, a continually improving collection of questions and answers created, edited, and organized by everyone who uses it;Klout, a company that measures an individual's influence based on the ability to drive action across the social web; and Entelo, a company that allows recruiters to search for software engineers and designers across based on their performance on sites such as Stackoverflow and Behance.

4.) Ignored and Slow-Adopting Industries Finally Catch Up

There has been so much innovation in slow-adopting industries like education and healthcare that hasn't fully taken hold. These are massive markets with plenty of problems for entrepreneurs to solve. In education, we still teach kids in classrooms designed for the 1950's using early 1900's psychology.

Education will become un-bundled -- and I expect educational content will eventually be free as new publishing and distribution platforms have enabled content to become widely disseminated by anyone. Educators will instead monetize through complementary services. Employers will have more effective and employee-friendly methods of qualifying prospective employees than college.

An industry I'm particularly interested in is agriculture technology. It seems to have been ignored by entrepreneurs when compared to areas such as restaurant discovery. There are massive markets that can now be exploited thanks to technology infrastructure advances described above. Farmeron ,a company that helps farmers across the world to manage their farming data online and do farm performance analysis, seems well-poised here.

Follow Michael B. Fishbein on Twitter: www.twitter.com/mfishbein

10 Prediksi teknologi 2013 version GARTNER

10 Technology Predictions For 2013 And Beyond

With 2013 approaching, it’s time for prediction-making season to start. Companies, non-profits, research groups and generally anyone else can break out their crystal ball and look at what they think the coming year will bring. Some are worth considering others not, but ultimately it’s a good exercise to think about the future and what you could be doing today to prepare or position yourself and your business for success.

Gartner, a leading IT research and advisory company released its 10 strategic tech trends for 2013 and beyond this week. Keep in mind these predictions are coming from an IT focused company so they are relevant to their audience, but these trends also affect everyone in some way, online marketers included. Take a look at the summary of their predictions and think about how those could affect you or your business.

1. Mobile devices will continue their march towards dominance. Mobile web access will overtake the PC.
2. The market will shift towards HTML5. Over the next few years, many mobile development tools will remain popular, but eventually, there will be a shift away from native apps to web apps.
3. The personal cloud will grow, reducing digital content on PCs and it will become the common factor connecting many devices. As a result, mobile security, capability and management will become more important.
4. Private enterprise App stores will become more common. Companies and groups will deliver apps to workers or members via private stores.
5. The internet will become more integrated with the physical world. Consumer products, cars, health products, etc will all be connected to the web through sensors, images, NFC technologies and more.
6. An emergence of an internal cloud services brokerage will occur. Better management of cloud services computing for many users will drive this.
7. There will be a shift in storing strategic big data. Data will be split into multiple systems consisting of content management, data warehouses, data marts, and other specialized file systems instead of one big data warehouse.
8. Actionable analytics will drive more decisions in companies. As capabilities grow and costs are reduced, data use in decision making will grow.
9. In-memory computing will become mainstream, speeding up many processes.
10. Tech ecosystems will become more integrated. The industry is moving away from loosely coupled approaches and more toward integrated systems for lower costs, ease of use and security.

Many of their predictions make sense, some seem like a stretch. Most believe mobile will continue its rapid growth but the timing for mobile to overtake PCs for web usage seems like a stretch. Cloud computing and all that comes along with that also seems like sure bets.

These predictions all point toward further development of mobile and web integration into the lives of people and with the proliferation of work and life integration which comes with trends like telecommuting and being connected to the web constantly, opportunities for mobile development, advertising, security applications and entertainment all come to mind as sure bets for online marketers. Ultimately it’s a good idea to keep an eye on trends and think about the future, because as quickly as technology changes, it’s easy to be left behind if you are not constantly adapting and improving as things change.

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7 Prediksi teknologi untuk SMB

7 SMB Technology Predictions For 2013
What's in store for small and midsize business technology in the New Year?
By Kevin Casey,  InformationWeek 
December 21, 2012
URL: http://www.informationweek.com/smb/ebusiness/7-smb-technology-predictions-for-2013/240144993

9 Bargain IT Tools For SMBs

(click image for larger view and for slideshow)

As we move headlong into 2013, it's time to dust off the crystal ball and play fortune teller.I asked several analysts for their take on the year ahead in small and midsize business (SMB) technology. I sprinkled in a few of my own thoughts, too, including a confidence rating of high, medium, or low. (Consider the latter the longer-odds picks.) Without further ado, here are 7 IT predictions for SMBs in 2013. 
1. A Growing Gap Between IT Haves, Have-Nots
Around this time last year, the folks at the SMB Group coined the phrase "progressive SMB," referring to smaller firms that prioritize strategic IT spending tied directly to bottom-line growth and other business initiatives. SMB Group partner Laurie McCabe described the less strategic flip side of that coin: "I get technology when I have to, but I don't think that proactively about it," McCabe said in an interview.
There will be a growing gap between the IT haves and have-nots in 2013. The latter will fall behind the former on a wide range of business technology fronts such as mobile, cloud, social, virtualization, and analytics -- enough so that the back of the pack may never catch up. SMB Group data shows that 85% of SMBs with increasing IT budgets expect revenue growth in the coming year, compared with just 38% of SMBs with flat IT budgets and 42% of firms planning to decrease tech spending in 2013.
The good news: That "progressive SMB" segment is growing, according to McCabe. She attributes that in part to an increasing number of companies founded by young entrepreneurs and tech-savvy professionals who were laid off during the recession.
Confidence: Medium
[ Will you make any new IT hires in the New Year? Read SMBs Spending On IT, Not New IT Hires. ]
2. Revenue -- Not Cost -- Will Drive IT Decisions
Techaisle CEO Anurag Agrawal said that the seismic shift in how SMBs acquire technology -- thanks to cloud, mobile, and other categories -- has encouraged firms to more clearly connect those investments to business initiatives instead of fretting solely about budgets.
"Now that we are moving quickly away from capital budgets, revenue has become the focus rather than tight cost control," Agrawal said via email. "Enabling rapid growth is one of the keys to technology investment for SMBs."
That corresponds with a growing influence on IT spending from other areas of the business, such as sales and marketing departments. As a result, Agrawal predicts SMBs will invest more in CRM, marketing automation, business intelligence, and other revenue-centric platforms in the coming year. "For IT purchasing, the CMO will be as important as the CIO over the next five years," Agrawal said.
Confidence: High
3. The Rise of Hybrid IT Roles
With more SMB IT pros getting out of on-site infrastructure support and other legacy roles, they'll be able to elevate their profile elsewhere in the business. In smaller, more agile organizations, expect hybrid IT roles -- those professionals fluent in the language of both IT and marketing, for example -- to become more visible. It's not a particularly large leap, given how many SMB professionals already fill multiple job functions beyond their actual job title. McCabe of the SMB Group expects that interdisciplinary approach to be especially evident in spending and strategy decisions.
"IT may be just as influential in the decision-making process, but the business people really get it," McCabe said. "They may sometimes be leading the charge."
Confidence: Medium
4. Office 365 Goes Legit
You're not stepping too far out on the ledge if you predict SMB cloud usage will continue to grow. But Techaisle's Agrawal made a specific cloud call that requires a bit more gumption: 2013 is the year that Office 365, the online version of Microsoft's popular productivity software, goes mainstream. He points to increasing bandwidth speeds, reliability, and mobility as several macro reasons why. According to Techaisle research, 10% of small businesses (under 100 employees) are "actively investigating adoption" of Office 365.
"10% may not seem a lot, but that is enough to cross the chasm," Agrawal said. "Many young entrepreneurs are used to Google Docs, and in the new age of collaboration, moving to an Office 365 environment is logical."
Microsoft's going to do its part to make this one come true. It recently launched a 90-day free trial of Office 365's small business tier for companies with up to 10 users. The offer followed quickly on the heels of Google's announcement that it will no longer offer the free version of Google Apps, Office 365's biggest cloud competitor.
This one depends largely on how you define mainstream. If you agree with Agrawal that 10% is a significant number, then the prediction seems plausible in 2013. If you raise the bar much higher -- say, to the point where SMBs are just as likely to use Office 365 as they are to have traditional Office licenses -- it seems like a much longer-term bet.
Confidence: Low
5. BYOD Is SOP
Bring-your-own-device is already well on its way to becoming standard operating procedure in many SMBs, and 2013 will cement it as the default setting. "BYOD is a given," Agrawal said. But it won't be a free-for-all. More companies will turn to a mix of technology and policy to bring order tothe BYO environment. "SMBs will adopt mobile device management solutions in record number," said Analysys Mason analyst Patrick Rusby via email. The firm projects more than $189 million in cloud-based MDM spending in 2013, Rusby said, "as SMBs find it more difficult to manage and secure the plethora of mobile devices across their organizations."
Confidence: High
6. Say Hello To Server-less SMBs
SMBs have been shedding servers for a while now as cloud and virtualization usage has skyrocketed. As those technologies move from "trend" to "normal," I suspect we'll see a growing number of SMBs that abandon the server closet altogether. In the case of well-established companies with lots of legacy systems, it may be more likely a drastic reduction -- from 50 servers to 5, for example -- rather than complete elimination. But a growing number of new businesses and branch offices will operate with no on-premises servers at all -- further freeing up IT pros to pursue those more strategic, hybrid roles mentioned above.
"The SMB server and network will become less visible as they progressively move offsite physically and from a remote management perspective," Agrawal said.
Confidence: High
7. SMBs Get Social Fatigue
My inbox is stuffed with end-of-year predictions about social business. The general theme: 2013 is the year SMBs "get serious about social." I'll offer an alternative view: 2013 will be the year that a growing segment of SMBs experience social fatigue.
That's not to say that companies will suddenly start deleting their Facebook Pages and Twitter feeds en masse. They'll continue to maintain a basic social presence because they feel they must, but they'll grow tired of staying current in a constantly changing social landscape. They'll become especially frustrated with their inability to quantify the bottom-line impact. (The low confidence rating below is more a recognition that this prediction itself will be difficult to measure.) In effect, these SMBs will simply be going through the motions.
"SMBs will continue to struggle to determine ROI from their social media initiatives and its usage will be considered a productivity drainer for already lean-staffed SMBs," Agrawal said. "Aggressive SMB adopters will realize benefits but many others will be disillusioned unless advised, encouraged, and shown a path by early adopters."
Confidence: Low
Tech spending is looking up, but IT must focus more on customers and less on internal systems. Also in the new, all-digital Outlook 2013 issue of InformationWeek: Five painless rules for encryption. (Free registration required.)

10 tech prediction 2013

Top ten tech predictions for 2013

Mark Gregory

The past 12 months have been a rather turbulent period  for the technology sector. On the quirky side, we've seen robots land on Mars, exoskeletons making wheel chairs reduntant, and the rise of people creating their own plastic figurines with 3D printing technology. 

But it hasn't been all fun and games. The major technology players have made some significant moves this year. Microsoft launched its landmark Windows 8 operating system, Apple caved to rumours and launched its iPad Mini, and telcos around the world are diving into 4G networks and LTE technology. 

And that's not to mention all the advances in smartphones, cameras, GPS, game consoles and tablets 

All of this has framed 2013 as a key year for technological change, which begs the question: what is going to happen in 2013? 

Here's my top ten predictions for the next year: 

1. Wi-Fi the big winner

The shift away from the desktop to mobile platforms will continue in 2013. Already positive and negative trends are emerging. Recent changes to mobile carrier plans to reduce data allowances bodes ill for mobile customers in 2013 hoping to increase their smart phone and tablet use. The move to increase charges on mobile customers continues Australia’s mobile rip-off  and poses the problem for regulators – how to increase competition with such a skewed mobile landscape where Telstra is dominant, Optus seems to be asleep and Vodafone still reals from the Vodafail episode. The big winner in 2013 will be Wi-Fi. The mobility market is growing rapidly and customers are increasingly looking to Wi-Fi as an alternative solution to overcome the high cost of mobile plans. Expect to see an explosion of Wi-Fi in 2013 as this technology matures as a commercial alternative to 4G. The successful Queensland train Wi-Fi system should provide the impetus for Victoria and New South Wales to introduce train Wi-Fi systems in 2013.

2. NBN in the balance

The 2013 federal election promises to be a pivotal moment for NBN Co and the National Broadband Network (NBN). If the government is returned the NBN will move ahead as planned – albeit with faults including the glacial pace of the rollout, the ban on the NBN connecting with planes, trains, buses and other vehicles and continuing to use Alcatel-Lucent as a sole supplier of the fibre system.

If the opposition wins government we should expect to see immediate change. Key changes if the opposition wins government are likely to include a reduction in the fibre rollout – with the new mix of customer access being 60 per cent fibre to the home, 30 per cent fibre to the node, seven per cent fixed wireless and three per cent satellite. Also note that the 30 per cent fibre to the node will consist mainly of multi-dwelling buildings – many of which now utilise a fibre to the building solution.

3. Mobile advertsing will take centre stage

The gradual shift towards mobile devices is set to have a drastic impact on the internet next year. As the rise of smartphones, tablets and the big mover for 2013, cyber-glasses will become the focus for internet developments and marketing will attempt to overcome the perception that it is difficult to advertise effectively through mobile devices. Research and advisory firm Gartner predicts that mobile app downloads will top 81 billion in 2013, an increase of about 45 per cent over 2012.

4. E-commerce becomes an election issue            

Australians will further embrace online shopping and in 2013 we are expected to spend more than $37 billion online. The government will face increasing pressure to do something about the widening competitive gap between traditional store front retailers and online international retailers. The loss of GST revenue and the flow of capital out of Australia will reach a level that will make this an election issue. A recent survey by SLI Systems identifies that retailers will focus their e-commerce priorities on search engine optimisation, mobile commerce, e-commerce platforms and improving website search capabilities.

5. Cyber-crime hits a new high

Criminal activity over the internet will reach a new peak in 2013. Cyber-crime may reach the $2 billion mark in 2013. Government will come under increasing pressure to take steps to reduce cyber-crime and this may finally lead to the introduction of technologies to improve privacy and security on the internet. Companies operating on the internet are likely to focus their attention on the cyber-crime problem and improve the security of their online presence through smart design.

6. The IT world will "get real" about the Cloud      

The cloud should become a dominant feature of our online experience in 2013. Analyst firm, Forrester, predicts that the IT world will finally "get real about cloud" in 2013. Applications such as Dropbox, Apple iCloud,  Google Apps and Microsoft Office 365 will become central to our online experience by improving productivity and reducing organisation technology costs. The move away from desktop computing to the cloud will accelerate for many of our routine activities such as collaboration, email and document processing. There will be growth in the construction and use of date centres to match the need for ever expanding cloud capability. We can only hope that new Australian data centres are required to be built using environmentally sustainable technologies,

7. Big Data, bigger business oppotunities

Big business is turning its attention to big data and investing considerable sums to mine data repositories. This activity will expand rapidly in 2013 and organisations are learning that big data can be a source of increasing revenue through trading or resale of data and targeted marketing opportunities. A Gartner report publised in October 2012 states that by 2015 big data will support 4.4 million IT jobs. Australian companies have been late to explore the opportunities provided by big data but we should expect that to change in 2013.

8. The tech giants will turn to social media          

Increased competition, better privacy and improved security are likely to be key ingredients for the social media scene in 2013. The big three - Apple, Google and Microsoft - went head to head in the mobility market in 2012 and should turn their attention to unified social media offerings in 2013. The Facebook versus Twitter war is hotting up and we should expect to see new and existing social media organisations duke it out in 2013.                                                                                                                                                          

9. Broadband applications rise as Australians continue to resist Geoblocking

Next year will be a watershed period for broadband applications. Expect to see a huge growth in consumer and business broadband applications including IPTV, eHealth, eLearning, 3-D interactive games and business applications such as machine to machine (M2M) and business to business (B2B). We will see the start to an explosion of sensor networks and vehicles connected to the internet. Australians will increasingly turn to technologies that overcome regional and digital format restrictions.

10. Regulators will need to grow some teeth          

Australians demand a better experience online and for this reason pressure will build in the lead up to the 2013 federal election. The internet is a fast moving space and the major issues facing people on the internet today appear to be daunting to the slow moving government bureaucracy. Government agencies including the Australian Communications and Media Authority, Australian Competition and Consumer Commission, Australian Federal Police and the Australian Privacy Commissioner are seen to be too slow to react, toothless or hesitant to take action.

Lima gaya kepemimpinan yang hebat

Oleh Steve Tobak

Manajemen Steve Jobs
Dulu orang membicarakan baju turtleneck berwarna hitam yang dibilang konyol, jeans dan sepatu ketsnya. Lalu orang-orang mulai mengejek gaya bicaranya. Kini para eksekutif dan wirausahawan mencoba meniru gagasan manajemen sang legenda Apple tersebut.

Sayangnya, Anda tidak bisa sekedar menyalin dan menggandakan bakat, kebijakan atau kepemimpinannya yang mendobrak. Itu tidak akan berhasil. Sebab Steve Jobs yang orang-orang coba tiru itu, orang yang melejitkan Apple, adalah Steve Jobs yang berbeda dari Steve Jobs sebelumnya — yang dipecat dari perusahaan yang ia dirikan sendiri.

Peristiwa tragis dan menyakitkan tersebut mengubah dirinya. Itu merupakan sebuah proses yang harus ia lalui. Itulah yang menjadikannya orang yang membuat perusahaan teknologi terbesar di dunia tersebut menjadi hebat. Hal itu dinamakan pengalaman. Anda tidak dapat meniru pengalaman.

Keterikatan dengan karyawan
Tentu saja, setiap eksekutif dan pimpinan bisnis ingin agar para pekerjanya menyukai pekerjaan mereka dan merasakan bahwa mereka adalah faktor penting dalam penentu kesuksesan perusahaan. Itu mudah. Itu juga bukan merupakan hal baru.

Cara untuk membuat para pegawai termotivasi adalah dengan membuat sebuah budaya yang membuat mereka merasa diberdayakan, yang membuat mereka merasa melakukan hal yang berbeda, yang membuat mereka merasa tertantang sekaligus mendukung mereka. Itu bukanlah hal yang rumit dan Anda tidak harus menyewa konsultan pegawai untuk melakukannya.

Produktivitas individu serta manajamen waktu
Kapan memberdayakan setiap menit waktu produktif Anda menjadi tujuan utama? Sini saya kasih tahu: Jika Anda sulit hidup teratur, bukan orang yang rajin, memiliki ruang kerja yang berantakan, serta tidak rapih bukan berarti bahwa Anda terpuruk dan mengenaskan. Itu hanya berarti bahwa Anda seperti banyak orang sukses dan inovatif yang saya kenal selama beberapa tahun.

Dan jika Anda masih harus mencari sedikit waktu, cukup lakukan seperti apa yang saya lakukan. Kurangi. Kurangi sama dengan menambah. Prioritaskan hal penting. Anda akan menjadi lebih sukses dan lebih bahagia. Cukup seperti itu.

Kecerdasan emosional
Gaya kepemimpinan dan manajemen secara tradisional telah habis. Kini masanya soft skill, siapa yang tidak ingin menjadi seorang CEO yang memiliki empati dan mawas diri? Masalah kecerdasan emosional adalah hal yang sulit diukur.

Jika kecerdasan emosional bisa menjadi alat untuk memprediksi kesuksesan bisnis, lalu bagaimana Anda bisa menghitung kecerdasan emosional Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, Larry Ellison, Larry Page, Mark Zuckerberg, serta puluhan wirausahawan dan eksekutif sukses lainnya?

Kepemimpinan berdasarkan kelebihan
Ini sangat sederhana. Kita hidup dalam masa yang berubah dengan cepat, dunia bisnis yang terus mengalami perubahan. Jika Anda memiliki kelebihan maka Anda mampu mengadaptasinya menjadi keuntungan yang kompetitif, berkonsentrasilah pada hal itu.

Namun, jika Anda memiliki kelemahan yang besar yang mungkin bisa saja membuat Anda dan rekan kerja terpuruk, maka jangan abaikan kelemahan tersebut